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Cerno Capital Screening of ‘Close’ at The Soho Hotel

By |2020-02-28T13:57:13+00:00February 28th, 2020|Cerno Capital, Cerno Capital Posts, Events, Other Posts|

On Wednesday 26th February Cerno Capital hosted a screening of ‘Close’, followed by Q&A with the director Vicky Jewson, at The Soho Hotel. Vicky has quickly gained recognition for captivating audiences with compelling female narratives. Her desire to bring more authentic female characters to the action genre was the inspiration for her latest feature film. ‘Close’ is an action thriller, based on of the world’s leading female bodyguards, Jacquie Davis. The film follows battle-hardened bodyguard Sam who, when attackers target the heiress she's protecting, must scramble to save her client -- and teach her how to fight back. In the Q&A following the film, Vicky explained her processes and inspiration behind the project, as well as detailing some of her further upcoming work, which we look forward to following with great interest. Photos from the evening are available on our Flickr account here, and ‘Close’ is available to screen on Netflix here.              

Accenture added to Global Leaders portfolio

By |2020-02-26T13:22:45+00:00February 26th, 2020|Bottom Up, Cerno Capital, Cerno Capital Posts, Cerno Global Leaders, General Investment, Other Posts|

Accenture is the largest and most diversified independent technology consultant and outsourcing provider globally, serving customers in over 40 industries in more than 120 countries. Formally established in 1989 (but operating since the 1950s), Accenture began life as the consulting division of the then accounting giant Arthur Andersen and subsequently broke off from its scandal-ridden parent in 1998. Ever since its founding, Accenture has had a mandate to focus on business and technology consulting related to managing large-scale system integrations, which has differentiated it from peers, who have tended to emphasise management consulting. Under its former CEO Pierre Nanterme and now Julie Sweet, Accenture has followed a strategy of continuously identifying and going after new high-growth verticals, aided by the institutional experience and insights gained from the numerous industries they work in. This approach enabled the company to stay agile and detect emerging technology trends early, understand how it can be integrated into business operations, thereby remaining relevant to their clients in an advisory role. Today, the company derives over 60% of its revenues from ‘new’ businesses, including digital, cloud, connectivity and cyber-security, and actively exploring emerging areas including block-chain, quantum computing and AI. In a fast-changing world, the urgent [...]

Cerno Capital sponsors Maisie Everett, Olympic fencing hopeful

By |2020-03-05T09:16:45+00:00February 18th, 2020|Cerno Capital, Cerno Capital Posts, Other Posts|

Cerno Capital is delighted to announce its support and sponsorship of Maisie Everett, cadet class fencer and future Olympic hopeful. Having recently been awarded a sports scholarship at Millfield School, home to one of the largest dedicated fencing academy facilities in the country, Maisie has been selected for the second time into the U14 England Fencing Team, and is currently training hard, having won the 2020 South West Championships ahead of the Nationals in May. Ranked as No. 3 fencer in the country in her class, Maisie first picked up an Epee aged 10, and has since competed nationally and internationally. Now 13, she has been focusing on improving her speed, precision, and strength, building on her competition success in the previous year where she  last year where she won 5 gold, 1 silver and 6 bronze medals. Maisie has been receiving support from the GLL Sport Foundation for three years, one of the largest sports talent programmes in the country, which has provided her with training support and facilities access and has previously supported Olympic and World champion athletes Tom Daley and Dina Asher-Smith. With this background, coupled with her coaching at Millfield, we hope she will continue to [...]

Farms Not Factories: Inspiring British Food ‘Sovereignty’

By |2020-02-17T14:46:49+00:00February 17th, 2020|Cerno Capital, Cerno Capital Posts, Events, Other Posts|

On Wednesday 12th February Cerno Capital hosted a dinner with Tracy Worcester, environmental campaigner and founder of Farms Not Factories. Farms Not Factories is a non-profit organisation working through film-making and campaigning to support the ‘food sovereignty’ movement. Their works seeks to expose the true and hidden costs of cheap meat produced by animal factories, and the goal is to inspire consumers to only buy meat from local, healthy, high welfare farms. Beneath the surface of cheap accessible meat purchasing lie devastating hidden costs. The globalisation of the farming industry continues to undermine small-scale, high-welfare producers facilitating a loss of food sovereignty in the UK. The large-scale producers seek to maximise short term financial profit to the detriment of animal welfare leading to a multitude of abuse issues (e.g. overcrowding, neglect and denial of natural behaviours). Mass production intensive farms care little for the long term external costs associated with pollution of the air, sickening local residents, and of the soil and water table, rivers and sea. Further issues associated with these ‘factories’ include the rise of antibiotic resistance, a time-bomb threatening the future health of the population. Tracy Worcester is spreading the word on the true extent of these [...]

Financial Robustness of the Cerno Pacific Portfolio

By |2020-02-05T15:34:36+00:00February 5th, 2020|Asian/emerging Equities, Asset Allocation, Cerno Capital, Cerno Capital Posts, Other Posts, Regions|

The emergence of the novel coronavirus (nCoV) has serious short term consequences for growth and demand in China. In this journal we address the financial position of the stocks in the TM Cerno Pacific portfolio and their revenue sensitivity to a protracted downturn in activity within China. The situation has naturally led to parallels being drawn with the SARS epidemic of 2003-04. While the pathologies are linked the context exhibits marked differences. At this stage of endemic spread, some caution is warranted when extrapolating outcomes for nCoV. In our recent Investment Letter, Camus and all that, we discussed these points of difference. China was just 5% of global GDP in 2003 vs 17% today. The measures put in place by the Chinese government, most notably the quarantining of entire cities, are more severe and restrictive than applied during SARs. Beijing’s approach to nCoV is akin to corpus calloscotomy, or split-brain surgery, whereby the link between the two hemispheres of the brain is severed to prevent the spread of seizures from one to another in patients with severe epilepsy. A drastic measure which is effective in its targeted goal but risks long lasting adverse consequences. Aside from the tragedy of human [...]

Global Equity Markets – US versus Rest of the World

By |2019-12-03T14:48:05+00:00December 3rd, 2019|Asset Class Returns, Cerno Capital, Cerno Capital Posts, General Investment, Other Posts, Sectors & Corporate Performance|

Technology has been one of the best performing sectors in equity markets over the last 10 years, accounting for a significant portion of broader equity market performance. This phenomenon has been felt disproportionately in the US and has been backed by a strong relative earnings trend. Source: BCA  The increasing weight of Technology in the US, driven by earnings and upward rerating has been at the forefront of the trend for US equities and has pushed US performance versus the Rest of the World (RoW). Source: BCA We have gone back to test this phenomenon and to try to understand how much of a role momentum has played. Momentum, at its simplest expression, is the practice of picking winners by buying the winners. In the below-described test, we find that any combination of the largest listed US Tech companies of five years ago would have outperformed the market in the last five years. We took the largest 10 tech names from the S&P 500 from 5 years ago and used a Monte Carlo simulation (which generates a large number of random results subject to constraints) using 2,000 combinations of weights for the basket (with a 5-15% boundary restriction on individual [...]

Holding in music royalty fund added to steady return basket in Select fund

By |2019-10-23T10:21:06+00:00October 23rd, 2019|Asset Allocation, Cerno Capital, Cerno Capital Posts, General Investment, Manager Selection, Other Posts, Strategy|

We have introduced a new holding to the Select fund which delivers exposure to music royalties, an asset class which we have not previously been able to access. The Hipgnosis Songs Fund is a London listed investment trust which purchases, holds and manages songwriters copyright in popular music categories. The principal of the fund is Merck Mercuriadis who has been a successful manager of artists including Elton John, Beyonce, Morrissey and Gun ‘N Roses. He was previously the CEO of Sanctuary Records. Music royalties offer a long-term stream of cash flows to owners of music catalogues. Copyright lasts for seventy years from the date of death of the songwriter, or the last surviving collaborator with respect to jointly composed songs. Thus, songs are a very long duration asset which is typically defensive as music consumption is not impacted by the economic cycle. Royalty payments are generated every time a song is purchased, streamed, played on television or radio. Further, licence payments are made by media creators when they use previously recorded music within advertisements or films. Royalty collection must be managed efficiently by collection agencies and it is the job of song owners or managers to ensure that songs are [...]

Cerno Capital Rounders 2019 with Greenhouse Sports

By |2019-08-01T13:45:14+00:00August 1st, 2019|Cerno Capital, Cerno Capital Posts, Events, Other Posts|

On Wednesday 31st July, we hosted our annual evening of Rounders and BBQ, with six teams joining us to battle it out in Regent’s Park. This year, we were thrilled to be partnering with Greenhouse Sports, a London based charity that uses sports coaching and mentoring to empower young people who are facing disadvantage to help them unlock their full potential. We had a number of the Greenhouse coaches join us on the evening to help show us the ropes, and join in on the pitches. We were lucky to have a dry evening after a few afternoon showers, and players and spectators soon got into the swing of the games. After some hotly contested matches, the Pink team (Farrer & Co) won the tournament by a ½ rounder, although there were some fantastic moments in all games that made for some very exciting play throughout the evening with plenty of fantastic catches and even a few full rounders.       Thanks to all of those who took part to make it such a great evening: BDB Pitmans, PAM, Seddons, Penningtons Manches, Farrer & Co, Withers, Canter Holland and of course, Greenhouse Sports. We have uploaded more photos taken [...]

Renishaw Negotiates a Soft-Patch

By |2019-05-29T13:32:21+00:00May 29th, 2019|Cerno Capital, Cerno Capital Posts, Cerno Global Leaders, General Investment, Other Posts|

Renishaw, a UK engineering company held in the Global Leaders portfolio, held its annual Capital Markets Day on the 14th May in their Gloucestershire Innovation Centre, showcasing a selection of their machines. The company sells high precision measuring, gauging and calibration equipment to the high-end industrial and manufacturing sectors, enabling their customers to optimise processes and output, significantly reducing time and cost of production. Metrology has been core to Renishaw’s business since the founding of the company in 1973, when the original touch-trigger probe was invented by Sir David McMurtry, to test the integrity of finished aerospace components. Traditionally, finished parts are inspected at the end of the production line, if a defect is found, the entire batch is likely to be scrapped. For expensive components such as jet engine blades that cost northward of £250,000 a piece, this can become a costly undertaking. Exhibit: Renishaw Equator Gauging system next to a Fanuc Robodrill Source: Renishaw Renishaw’s value proposition to their customers is to integrate product inspection into the manufacturing process, tracking errors in real-time. Their probes and gauging systems are often found sitting alongside manufacturer’s machines on the factory floor. For instance, their flexible 5-axis probe (shown above), takes [...]

Investment Letter dated 6th February 2019

By |2019-02-06T11:38:44+00:00February 6th, 2019|Cerno Capital, General Investment, Investment Letters, Other Posts|

The MSCI EAFE Index is an index of performance of world shares, ex US. EAFE stands for Europe, Australasia, Far East. This index is often used as a benchmark for US pension fund allocators whose traditional view of the world is divided by US allocations and International allocations. EAFE Equity mandates are granted to invest in shares anywhere in the world, excluding the US. Performance is measured against the MSCI EAFE Index. US$2.2tn is managed this way. The reason for displaying this is to understand the trend in global equity markets, outside the US. The Index, captioned below by the blue line, achieved a recent peak on the 25th of January 2018 and has fallen 16.7% from that peak until the time of writing. The wider All Country ex US (the green line which includes Emerging Markets) peaked on the same day and has fallen 16.3% since then. This data includes the January rally. In simple terms, the world, ex US, has marginally escaped the bear market territory (defined as a 20% fall in an index) which it entered on 17th December. The bigger picture is that the world is slowing, although not abruptly and not currently in the US. [...]